Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.998858 1.248112 1.523993 1.849064 2.218706 2.623175 3.096399
2025-06-22 0.675731 1.002953 1.405162 1.922562 2.557350 3.298348 4.216086
2025-06-29 0.452450 0.804964 1.285944 1.956374 2.833907 3.912861 5.308585
2025-07-06 0.285796 0.624336 1.140617 1.919115 3.000503 4.391770 6.258378
2025-07-13 0.190185 0.512856 1.060419 1.945585 3.237686 4.961390 7.340193
2025-07-20 0.124323 0.422647 0.987477 1.962862 3.451725 5.501396 8.398301
2025-07-27 0.072883 0.331433 0.886924 1.916063 3.559695 5.893158 9.267088
2025-08-03 0.040339 0.259620 0.799414 1.871473 3.658034 6.266408 10.114903
2025-08-10 0.023060 0.214623 0.750836 1.882245 3.835590 6.752707 11.126296
2025-08-17 0.010332 0.165214 0.675081 1.829278 3.901795 7.073485 11.910388
2025-08-24 0.005939 0.147804 0.670360 1.908072 4.185285 7.722193 13.171106
2025-08-31 0.002400 0.122126 0.634294 1.917968 4.350175 8.194654 14.188232
2025-09-07 0.001276 0.115125 0.651314 2.042234 4.723796 9.005852 15.727424
2025-09-14 0.000428 0.102131 0.645399 2.116724 5.014136 9.698102 17.110929
2025-09-21 0.000053 0.086145 0.622687 2.150688 5.232943 10.284541 18.351755
2025-09-28 NaN 0.065417 0.570894 2.109842 5.311415 10.649947 19.271815
2025-10-05 NaN 0.054166 0.549883 2.137525 5.515874 11.219591 20.505277
2025-10-12 NaN 0.044024 0.526754 2.155663 5.701095 11.760647 21.703095
2025-10-19 NaN 0.031583 0.480206 2.105606 5.750281 12.078915 22.567395
2025-10-26 NaN 0.022052 0.437843 2.057955 5.798721 12.394264 23.430075
2025-11-02 NaN 0.016933 0.418138 2.069413 5.964316 12.907250 24.603405
2025-11-09 NaN 0.010814 0.377826 2.012857 5.986204 13.176509 25.401941
2025-11-16 NaN 0.009616 0.383624 2.096940 6.303361 13.954407 27.003758